Skip to main content

Efficient Market Hypothesis

The randomness of stock prices was the result of an efficient market. The key links in the argument are as follows:

  • Information is freely and instantaneously available to all the market participants
  • Keen competition among market participants more or less ensures that market prices will reflect intrinsic values. This means that they will fully impound all available information.
  • Prices change in response to new information that by definition is unrelated to previous information otherwise it will not be new information.
  • Since new information cannot be predicted in advance, price changes too cannot be forecast .Hence prices behave like a random walk.

What is an Efficient Market?

An efficient market is one in which the market price of a security is an unbiased estimate of its intrinsic value.Market efficiency is defined in relation to information that is reflected in security prices. Eugene Fama suggested that it is useful to distinguish three levels of market efficiency:

  • Weak Form Efficiency: Stock Prices reflect all information found in the record of past prices and volumes.
  • Semi Strong Efficiency:  Stock Prices reflect not only all information found in the record of past prices and volumes but also all other publicly available information
  • Strong Form Efficiency: Stock Prices reflect all available information,public as well as private

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

RISK in Investments

Investment decisions are a trade off between Risk and Return. Risk refers to the possibility that the actual outcome of an investment will differ from its expected outcome. Most investors are concerned about the actual outcome being less than the expected outcome. The wider the range of possible outcomes,the greater the risk. SOURCES OF RISK The three major sources of risk are: Business Risk Interest Rate Risk Market Risk   Business Risk As a holder of corporate securities (equity shares and debentures) you are exposed to risk of poor business performance. This may be caused by a variety of factors like heightened competition, emergence of new technologies, development of substitute products , shifts in consumer preferences, inadequate supply of essential inputs,changes in governmental policies and so on. The principal reason might be inept and incompetent management. Interest Rate Risk The changes in interest rate have a bearing  on the welfare of investors. As th

A note on Motivation

Motivation Theories Motivation- those factors that cause ,channel, and sustain people’s behavior. Motivation is not always easy to discern. Most successful managers ,however, have learned by experience that people are generally very responsive to praise and encouragement-expressed not only in words but also in actions and need to feel successful in their work to give their best effort to the organization. Different View points on Motivation The Traditional Model The traditional model of motivation is associated with Fredrick Taylor and scientific management which held that an important aspect of the manager’s job was to make sure that workers perform repetitive  tasks in the most efficient way. The Human Relations Model In the human relations model, workers were expected to accept management’s authority because supervisors treated them with consideration and were attentive to their needs. The intent of managers ,however remained the same- to have the workers accept

Certified Bitcoin Professional Exam

Studying for the CBP exam is easy. The 33 topics are covered extensively online making it easy to learn the knowledge required for certification. A  CBP Study Guide  is available to assist your review. The Common Body of Knowledge for the Certified Bitcoin Professional certification is defined as follows: History of Money and Ledger-based Economics Centralized Ledgers Functions of Currency Distributed Consensus History of Bitcoin Price Derivation Basic Cryptography Terms and Definitions Hash Functions Symmetric and Asymmetric Encryption Digital Signatures Bitcoin Basics Bitcoin Community Bitcoin Addresses and Keys Bitcoin Transactions Bitcoin Blockchain Ledger bitcoin the Unit Bitcoin the Network BIPs Buying and Selling bitcoin Blockchain Explorers UTXOs Mining Purpose and Function Algorithm Mining Pools Mining Hardware Security and Centralization Wallets, Clients and Key Management Wallet Types Bitcoin Clients Deterministic Wallets (AKA B